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Why iPhone will succeed - as a niche player | Why iPhone will succeed - as a niche player |
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| Written by Stan Beer | |
| Thursday, 28 June 2007 | |
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Apple has sold more than 100 million iPods over the past five years. I suspect the company, its shareholders and Steve Jobs will be ecstatic if Apple can post similar figures for iPhone over the next five years, without cutting into standalone iPod sales too much. But it's a hard ask. Jobs has already stated his goal of 1% marketshare - about 10 million iPhones sold - in 2008. Based on surveys, that's likely to be achieved. However, 2% marketshare in 2009 will be an order of magnitude tougher and, beyond that, 3%, which is about how many smartphones are sold in total globally, almost impossible. All of the above assumes of course that the iPhone doesn't succeed in creating a totally new market dynamic which pits it against ordinary mobile phones rather than just the higher priced smartphones. Some analysts believe that will be the case but, if it's Apple's intention to be more than a niche player, it will be a tough sell. In the much more price conscious mobile phone space, the iPhone will be judged first and foremost as a phone and secondly for its additional functionality. It will come up against the likes of the Nokia N95, the Motorola MotoRAZR V3xx, the Samsung A801 and a host of other high end mobiles that boast strong phone functionality and can be purchased on nothing up front plans. If you accept that most consumers buy mobile phones not to play music or surf the web but primarily for voice and messaging communications, then the iPhone may well come up short against the likes of the N95. I didn't get a chance to test the iPhone's hands free speakerphone, which for me is a must have. However, well known reviewer David Pogue says both the speakerphone and vibrate mode on iPhone are weak. On the N95, as with many other phones in varying price brackets, both the hands free and vibrate functions are excellent, which these days should be a given with any mobile phone. Likewise, the N95, being a Symbian phone like the rest of Nokia's range, freely allows downloadable third party applications, one of the most important of which is instant messaging. Being a Skype user, it is a very handy feature to be able to chat with IM from my mobile phone to both Skype phones and computers running Skype. It's also handy to be able to make and receive Skype voice calls. The iPhone currently has no IM chat capability.
One voice feature that I really do like on the iPhone, however, is the ease with which a user can set up a multi-party conference call. It really is revolutionary stuff. How often will cellphone users set up conference calls? Perhaps more than they used to if they own an iPhone.
I can live without downloading my own ringtone but others apparently
can't judging by the array of sounds you hear from mobile phones these
days. It seems strange that Apple has restricted iPhone users to its
limited range of native ringtones, when given that it's also an iPod,
most users will probably have a library of hundreds of iTunes songs to
choose from.
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